Pakistan’s hopes of making it to the Asia Cup 2025 final are still alive, but the road has become complicated after their defeat to India in the Super Four stage. The team now finds itself in a must-win situation, with Net Run Rate likely to play a decisive role in the coming days.
Where Things Stand
Pakistan’s 6-wicket loss to India left them with no margin for error. With a round-robin format in the Super Four, the top two teams move on to the final. That means Pakistan can still qualify, but only if they take care of business in their remaining fixtures and get a bit of help from elsewhere.
What Pakistan Must Do
Beat Sri Lanka in their next match.
Defeat Bangladesh in their final Super Four game.
Ideally, win by strong margins to give their Net Run Rate (NRR) a significant boost. Close wins may not be enough if other teams finish on equal points.
Other Results That Matter
Pakistan’s path also depends on how the other Super Four matches unfold:
India vs Bangladesh could prove decisive. A win for India would make life easier for Pakistan, but a Bangladesh victory would tighten the race.
Sri Lanka’s results against India and Bangladesh are equally important. If Sri Lanka lose both, Pakistan’s route becomes clearer.
The Bigger Picture
If Pakistan win both of their remaining games, they’ll likely secure a top-two finish and qualify for the final — potentially setting up another showdown with India. But if they slip even once, or fail to boost their run rate, their chances could evaporate quickly.
The message is simple: Pakistan’s fate is still in their own hands, but only if they play flawless cricket from here on out.
