KARACHI: The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has issued a comprehensive weather outlook for the upcoming 2025 monsoon season, warning of varied and potentially severe weather conditions across the country, including the risk of flooding in several regions.
According to the PMD, the forecast indicates a wide range of conditions—from possible flooding in specific areas to above-normal temperatures in others. Authorities have been urged to activate emergency operation centres and ensure the timely deployment of rescue and relief teams.
Rainfall in the central and southern regions of the country is expected to be normal to slightly above normal. However, northeastern Punjab and Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK) are likely to receive significantly heavier rainfall. In contrast, northern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and Gilgit Baltistan (GB) are forecasted to experience normal or slightly below-normal precipitation.
“The early phase of the monsoon is particularly expected to bring heavy downpours,” the PMD stated.
The department further noted that from July through September, average temperatures across Pakistan are expected to be above normal. This temperature rise will be especially pronounced in AJK, GB, and KP, potentially accelerating the melting of snow and increasing river water levels—thereby heightening the risk of flooding.
The PMD issued strong warnings about the potential for flooding in major rivers. Lowland and mountainous regions of Sindh, Punjab, AJK, and KP remain particularly vulnerable. Northern Punjab, AJK, and KP face an even greater flood risk due to the anticipated increase in snowmelt from elevated temperatures in the north.
In addition to rainfall and rising temperatures, the department has also warned of potential strong winds, dust storms, and hailstorms, driven by weather fluctuations.
Despite these risks, the PMD noted that the expected rainfall could have positive impacts on the country’s water resources, contributing to improved water availability for both irrigation and energy production. It is also expected to help replenish underground water tables and restore water reservoirs.
Given the forecast, the PMD has called on provincial and district authorities to remain on high alert, activate emergency response systems, and maintain coordination with local administrations to ensure efficient evacuation and timely public warnings.
“Residents of Karachi and other affected areas are strongly advised to avoid unnecessary travel during periods of heavy rainfall to ensure their safety,” the advisory concluded.
